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- Actual immigration (ONS: came to stay 12 months) is always mildly below the corresponding visa data, because some people don't use a visa in the end, or don't stay. But net migration is down a few thousand with a 5-11 month lag in knowing the estimated numbers. The last figure is for June 2024
- I guess actual net migration for year end June 2025 would be pretty close to 365k (half the 728k figure at the time of the election). But the figure for Christmas 2024 the week after next probably may land just over 400k rather than below.
- Shadow Home Sec Chris Philip did say that projections of net migration are 300-350k in his interview (saying he could go lower with future policy). He is clearer on facts in his live interview than this garbled BBC online report (which did not give the fall in immigration/) x.com/BBCPolitics/...May 11, 2025 14:36
