Pawel Swidlicki
Currently clean on OPSEC
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- Starmer describing the situation in Gaza as "intolerable" suggests we will not tolerate it, whereas I expect we will, in fact, continue to tolerate it
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- Why does the BBC keep on having him on? What do they expect will happen?
- The appalling Sebastian Gorka being epically rude to Sarah Montague on #WATO as he seeks to excuse Trump’s acceptance of a Qatari jet. Full link via BBC underneath. on.soundcloud.com/UVQ1VEhs3RmR...
- Interesting polling, not surprised that on balance public is OK with this (keen to see for 'incalculable damage' also) which No 10 will feel is vindication but only 37% Lab giving full backing is not great
- Reposted by Pawel SwidlickiJPMORGAN: “.. The trade war shock is still material. .. we now estimate an effective ex-ante tariff rate of 14.4%. This is akin to a $475bn tax hike on US households and businesses, worth 1.6% of GDP (still sitting close to the largest tax hike in the post WWII period).”
- Reposted by Pawel SwidlickiA comprehensive comms success.
- Funny point about 'island of strangers' rhetoric, it assumes level of homogeneity in UK society pre-large scale migration that is patently absurd, as though regional, religious, socio-economic etc cleavages did not exist, as though the 'national community' was not actually series of sub-communities
- Reposted by Pawel Swidlickieven by the standards of this era of Playbook, this is deranged
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- Reposted by Pawel Swidlicki👇🎯 Again, the headline story is this: Trump is wildly abusing/violating not only WTO treaty obligations (which are also part of US law), but also the Cold War era trade laws that give him any authority at all over tariffs.
- Reposted by Pawel SwidlickiI would just like to say that this has been exhausting
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- The great thing about this phrasing is that when challenged on specifics, you can just repeat 'incalculable'
- Helpful to remember that 'do these measures have any merit in of themselves?' and 'will these measures succeed in restoring migration-sceptic voters' faith in the Labour government?' are two distinct propositions www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2025...
- When I first saw the Qatar plane thing I assumed it was a joke. I know Trump's favourability with his core supporters has been and will likely continue to be teflon, but its so egregiously corrupt I do wonder if it'll cut through with some of the softer ones, especially if tariffs tank the economy
