Carl Müller-Crepon
Human, Learner, Voyager, Citizen. Polisci research on the state, development, and conflict. Assistant Professor @ LSE Department of Government. Previously Oxford and ETH Zurich. https://carlmueller-crepon.org
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponIn this research note, Kit Rickard (@ethzurich.bsky.social), @critgeopolitics.bsky.social, @kristinmbakke.bsky.social and John O'Loughlin (@colorado.edu) highlight the pitfalls of wartime polling, drawing on lessons from panel surveys in Ukraine before and after Russia's 2022 invasion.
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponSounds like a plan
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponLabour's immigration announcement today is a reflection of the paucity of honest debate by BOTH political parties over the last decade on this issue. Labour has never made a counter-argument, or been honest about economic cost of immigration curbs, so it's stuck making Tory/Reform arguments 1/n
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponIncalculable = when we calculated it, it didn't give us the answer we wanted
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponReminder that earlier naturalization leads to better integration of immigrants. Extending the period necessary for settlement in the UK will have exactly the opposite effect of what Starmer and the Labour leadership claim. "Migrants first have to prove themselves" is a nativist trope and bad policy.
- Reposted by Carl Müller-Crepon[This post could not be retrieved]
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponFor 3yrs already, we’ve wondered why exactly Orban sides w Ru over Ukraine. The competing hypotheses are energy policy, appeasement, dictators band together, and irredentism. This news points to the last hypothesis— Orban wants Pu to give him parts of Ukraine.
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponThe problem w this approach is that to get to the hard stuff, one has to spend a lot of time doing the stuff that a computer is very good at. AI in education allows you complete work without mastery, leaving you without the foundations for the hard stuff
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponProf.Gerald Roche ( @geraldroche.bsky.social ) shows that language loss in Tibet is not accidental but a result of state policy rooted in sovereignty. His research reveals how state power dismantles cultural and linguistic diversity in the name of national unity.
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponThe short article "When health data go dark" about the DHS (Demographic and Health Surveys) is online at BMC Medicine: bmcmedicine.biomedcentral.com/articles/10....
- Reposted by Carl Müller-Crepon🗳️ Populism is a warning sign. English local elections show it again: People feel abandoned & look scapegoats. Drawing on own research & others, I argue 👇🏽 💡 To counter populism: We need to reinvest in citizens, e.g. housing, health & dignity. Short 🧵 📖 www.socialeurope.eu/to-counter-p...
- On my way to Barcelona — I’m very excited to be presenting my research on subnational colonial borders tomorrow at @ibei.org ! www.carlmueller-crepon.org/publication/...
- 🔎 Packing or Cracking Ethnic Groups? Join us for the next #IBEIresearchSeminar with @carlmc.bsky.social from @lsegovernment.bsky.social, focused on Colonial Strategies in Shaping Administrative Borders in Sub-Saharan Africa. 🗓️ 5 May 🕛 12:00h 📍 IBEI 👉 Info & registration: t.ly/ukAvT
- Reposted by Carl Müller-Crepon🚨3-Year Postdoc Position in Zurich @ipz.bsky.social ❓Political implications of labor market transformation Plenty of flexibility, no teaching obligations, great research environment in an highly livable city. Deadline: May 18, 2025. tinyurl.com/postdoczurich #polisky #poliscijobs #psjminfo
- 🚨 Very excited that our paper on *Rulers on the Road* has been cond. accepted at the AJPS @ajpseditor.bsky.social. We analyze emperors' strategies of itinerant rule in the Holy Roman Empire 919-1519. Fun working with @claranw.bsky.social, @andrejkokkonen.bsky.social & Jørgen Møller shorturl.at/Spm7z
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponIf we know where they were sent, but it isn’t to detention: exile. If we know where they are & it’s in detention: extraordinary rendition. If we don’t know where they are, but we know someone’s holding them: kidnapping. Otherwise, if we don’t know where they are: disappearance.
- Super important! Knowing about the insides of software/stats black-boxes also enables further improvements and adjustments to context.
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponIn aviation, flight-deck automation is generally understood to be a good thing: It reduces scope for erroneous human inputs and allows pilots to better manage and focus their limited resources. But there is a risk: Pilots may never really learn to fly manually, or they may let those skills atrophy.
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponI recall talking to @carlmc.bsky.social about this post-Trump 2.0 risk in journals not long ago, and here we are
- A short article of mine on civil-military relations and democratic backsliding had been accepted for publication in the journal "Connections". Then I received an email that the editors can't publish the paper unless I "remove the case study/examples of the United States" (1/x) #CivMilSky
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponThis may sound like special pleading. But if you add it up higher education is a huge economic asset to the UK, at the (for me anyway) rather knockdown price of having a few more high-skilled migrants than otherwise, and a few annoying know-it-all professors sounding off about things all the time.
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponWhy is the government and the news so indifferent to the meltdown happening in UK #HigherEd right now? Our universities are the envy of the world. Yet we are at risk of losing a generation of academics and damaging the sector beyond repair.
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponA DHS task force is using data analytic tools to scour social media of foreign students in the U.S. for potential grounds to revoke their visas, three sources told NBC News. nbcnews.to/4jqVkze
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponJesus, this is bleak. Like, I appreciate that the data is being tracked? But whew.
- United States Disappeared Tracker: 1214 and growing. public.tableau.com/app/profile/...
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponIf you are doing your dissertation on Europe, or anything inside it or around it, consider applying to the "New Topics in European Politics" workshop. @mkleine.bsky.social and I will co-lead the sessions.
- Reposted by Carl Müller-Crepon
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponAnd today, on tariffs, we see 3. EVERY time a few strong countries or people stand up to Trump, he caves.
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponThis is the most incredible commentary on what is happening in the US, by one of the most eminent political scientists on the planet. You have to read this. open.substack.com/pub/adamprze...
- Plus this: on.ft.com/4j21uWI The US may be reversing course on child labour
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponAt a time when international students and scholars are turning away from America, instead of seizing this opportunity, Number 10 have a steely focus on winning the Runcorn by-election to help defend their wafer-thin majority of 174 seats.
- The UK government is proposing to finally finish off its universities by further tightening the terms of the graduate visa route. The stupid fools. Playing with dangers they don't even understand. www.ft.com/content/f441...
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponNew post from me about Trump's tariffs and why Harold Macmillan was right - we Brits are truly Greece to America's Rome - because our Brexit-era compulsion to think everything was 'simple' has a Trumpian heir. A short thread. 1/n benansell.substack.com/p/simple
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponEndlich können wir es zeigen – das Cover von Lea Ypis neuem Buch »Aufrecht«, dem Prequel zu ihrem großartigen Memoir »Frei«. Es erscheint im September und kann hier vorgemerkt werden: shrk.vg/Aufrecht-B @leaypi.bsky.social
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponExcited to present early work on the effects of border change on ethnic composition coauthored with @carlmc.bsky.social ! Please join our fantastic panel you are at MPSA. @mpsa.bsky.social
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponOne month left to apply!
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponReally looking forward to spending a couple of days at LSE, including this evening's talk.
- Very excited about @ethanbdm.bsky.social's lecture "AI goes to war" today at LSE at 6pm. Register here: www.lse.ac.uk/school-of-pu...
- Reposted by Carl Müller-Crepon📣 excited to announce a 2-year post-doc at the University of Amsterdam @rpa-cs-uva.bsky.social on government responses to displacement project w/ me, @stephrschwartz.bsky.social & Adam Lichtenheld. - Closing date 30 April, starts fall 2025. - More info & to apply: werkenbij.uva.nl/en/vacancies...
- Very excited about @ethanbdm.bsky.social's lecture "AI goes to war" today at LSE at 6pm. Register here: www.lse.ac.uk/school-of-pu...
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponWe are delighted to host Macartan Humphrey @macartan.bsky.social at our next @lsegovernment.bsky.social APEG Seminar this Thursday, April 3 (12:00-1:30 PM GMT). Please join us. @carlmc.bsky.social
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponThis is an interesting question, and kind to ask. I am U.S.-based (not U.S.), but here are my thoughts. 🧵
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponUS researchers, help me out: More and more of my European colleagues are in the proces of cancelling visits to your institutions. For reasons of both politics and safety. What is your sense? How do Europe best support you?
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponLetter to leadership of universities being targeted, to run in Chronicle tomorrow. Academic friends, pls sign if you are a US citizen and tenured (ie it’s safe for you to do so) “We Must Leverage the Strength of Our Institutions and Stand Together” Text in replies docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1F...
- Reposted by Carl Müller-CreponNothing to do with defence. It's about European liberalism, the rule of law, regulation, minority rights...all of those things are constraints on the illiberal takeover they want to carry out in the US and eventually everywhere else
- Reposted by Carl Müller-Crepon📣📣📣 My department @ucdpolitics.bsky.social is hiring for a PERMANENT*** position open with respect to subfield/method. Deadline: noon on April 7. ***yes, you read correctly: I mean PERMANENT. Like better than tenure-track. Details: my.corehr.com/pls/coreport...
