1RAOKADAY
Husband, Father of 4 (33 yrs old): I fully recognize I'm probably wrong on some stuff. Democrat with capitalist tendencies.
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- I think I phrased my question poorly. So Madison grew more than Milwaukee? Honestly, I'm rooting for them both. I just like a little friendly competition of this kind. 🙂
- Very good to hear! Did it out run Madison?
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- Hope the mental aspect can reach a good place soon. ♥️
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- Trying to understand what disqualifies Obama? Him being partisan?
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- What year is Metro's best year for ridership? Is 2019 the best like other transit systems have seen?
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- I'm pretty sure SciShow did a video on this. It's an amazing event!
- Last month was the 2nd hottest April on record globally... It was also separately the *warmest* April for global land areas and the 2nd warmest for global ocean areas. Data provided by @noaa.gov NOAAGlobalTemp v6.0.0 (www.ncei.noaa.gov/products/lan...).
- Thanks for continuing these updates. 🙂 Crummy news, but it's exceptionally important.
- Multiple recent studies, including 3 impressive natural experiments, consistently show a link between Shingles vaccines and reduced dementia. This week a nationwide S Korea study added a reduction of cardiovascular events My summary Table. More here on dementia erictopol.substack.com/p/the-shingl...
- The way vaccines have allowed us to narrow down other repercussions of diseases is so cool.
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- Honestly, this also seems like a thing where small manufacturers of the good are the most American made and probably have left leaning consumers on average. I don't think the tilt is very strong, but my brain has a hard time reconciling craft brewers consumers any other way.
- A pet theory of mine, that I have no evidence for, is that the move towards stories like this is actually Bad. Basically, in the psyche of the average person this creates a permission structure to be bad in some ways. It's probably a big effect, but it seems reasonable to think it's non-zero.
- @scottmendelson.bsky.social I'm curious. Why did Dog Man get pulled from theaters way before Captain America? As far as I can tell it was making better money than Captain America. Beginning on each of their 47th days in release Dog Man took home more than CA every single day it had left.
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View full threadI didn't post a cases update this week but they also accelerated in growth rate this week (66 compared to 51 added last week). I'm growing increasingly concerned we're going to actually lose our elimination status this year.
- CDC doesn't even post a clear number for each state. They post them in buckets. Which frustrates me. As far as I can tell Kansas and Ohio increased a fair amount and Texas is still experiencing persistent spread. But I don't really have time to investigate that further.
- Another steady increase this week to 11.
- Are you still collecting this data? I think it increased by 2 this week.
- Gordon Tullock has a classic public choice paper on the paradox of how little is spent on lobbying activities relative to the value rent seekers get: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rent-se...
- Someone needs to update this for the age of Trump coin
- This seems similar to the power of NIMBYs at public comment meetings.
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- What's your feeling on him? I have no knowledge.
- The video that comes closest to this one for me is this one. Just in terms of inspired unabashed joy in me. There are examples of the internet being a beautiful thing. I wish we could spend more time celebrating them.
- My view (I chose these very intentionally, don’t ask if I made a typo/forgot something): June: 10-15% chance of a 25bps cut July: 20-25% chance of a 50bps cut Sept: 50%+ chance of a 50bps cut
- Man, that would mean a pretty quick deterioration in the labor market, wouldn't it?
- Measles Update 2025 (Significantly better update than the last one)
- Added 51 cases last Friday. A significant slow down in the number of cases added (33 less cases added than the previous Friday update). At this new rate 2025 will be the worst year of the twenty first century on the 20th of June. (That date moved back 3 weeks )
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- The rationale rhymes. But I think there is a significant contingent of younger Reps who think that being denied the ability to say the -a conjugation is like denying them a cool card too. (thinking young Gen X to older millennials).
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- I'm certain there's a joke here. But I don't get it.
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- Thanks for the pointers! I really loathe this administration.
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- This sounds like great reading? Where did you hear/read about this?
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- 📌
- I have a theory that people will feel more comfortable about complaining about self-driving cars. And that will inevitably mean they are even MORE of a plus compared to status quo driving as companies invest to avoid the worst complaints. Evidence in favor of that idea: ktla.com/news/local-n...
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- The performance is amazing to watch for this movie. Something I was talking about with my wife was I think people broadly appreciate authentic stories. So movie like Sinners or heck The Barbie Movie do well. While Disney produce stuff misses.
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- The libertarian 🤝 environmentalist handshake is like my public policy happy place.
- Measles Update for 2025. Less good news than last week.
- Added 84 cases this week. Another slow down in the number of cases added this week (though the rate of slowing was significantly less).
- At this new rate 2025 will be the worst year of the twenty first century on the 30th of May. (The same as last week ) If we break that record 2025 will be the worst year since 1992 (which had 2126 cases).
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- That would be so dang satisfying lol
- There are a lot of critiques of LLMs that I agree with but "they suck and aren't useful" doesn't really hold water. I understand people not using them because of social, economic, and environmental concerns. And I also understand people using them because they can be very useful. Thoughts?
- They're fantastic for getting past writers block and the menace of a blank page. And also great for coding. They make plenty of mistakes but as long as you know how to debug problems that's not a big deal. You still get a productivity boost.
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- I agree. But I think the tariffs should still connect with trade volume at a point that results in exceptionally high revenue for a short period of time.
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- I worry that these will be a trap. If the GOP actually buys into the tariff revenue can replace income tax revenue nonsense that sets up a bad incentive structure.
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- Tbc, I think the more revenue we pull in the worse off we are because it'll have a social impact of legitimizing them. But it just seems like the tariff rates now plus historically high trade (recently) should mean historically high revenue.
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- This isn't the most ever?
- The constant allusions to the idea that Abrego Garcia is a murder or terrorist of some kind are so depressingly dystopian.
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View full threadI'm almost certain if you asked most planetary scientists to give a probability that there is life in the similar system. Their probability would be significantly higher than the average Americans. And that's a problem.
- *in the solar system. 🤦🤦
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- What I mean is that for planetary protection to be valued by the public I think the public really needs to know places we can visit aren't dead. And indeed are still host to many mysteries.
- Aren't there weird questions out there about experiments on Mars? This is from a person I trust on the other site. I know none of it is sure fire. But "There isn't any" feels like more of a political answer than a question which honors the spirit of the question.
- And honestly, I'd push even further on this to say. That not allowing shades of grey on this probably harms planetary protection goals.
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- Trump: (announces giant tariffs) "We're going to be an awesome Emerging Market again!" Investors: "He doesn't really mean that does he?" Trump: (threatens to politicize the FED) "We're going to emerging market even HARDER!!" Investors: "Well, fuck"
- The negative of this is really interesting. What is the current best evidence yet of alien life? If this isn't it.
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- RIP Tuco. Thanks for sharing his story with Bluesky. Sounds like you gave him a beautiful last few moments. ♥️
- Very very glad to see the Supreme Court ruling. Tough to be optimistic right now, but man 7-2 is a good ruling at this moment in time.
- The number of confirmed #measles cases in the US this year — an unknown fraction of the true total — has hit 800, per #CDC, making this the 2nd worst year for measles since the virus was eliminated in 2000. And the year is young. The count in Texas is just under 600. www.cdc.gov/measles/data...
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- That sucks. I think the geography of Texas cases has started to spread out. Maybe they're primarily there? The map on the CDC site of cases is less useful than it could be.
