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It's not nowhere else?? Trump ran 3 points ahead of Cruz in TX, for instance.
Insisting that Trump's drop-off must be similar to Kamala's is much weirder. Which is the comparison ETA uses. The two sets of voters and their relationships to their candidates and their parties are vastly different.
Like I have simply never struggled with the idea there were people who voted only for Trump and don't give a shit about other Republicans. I strongly believe that!
We saw that in 2018, in the 2022 red wave that wasn't, and again just now in Wisconsin. A lot of voters are only turn out for Trump.
If you can rig elections, you can rig elections. It's all the same ballot sheet and tabulators. If you can get into that code, it's no harder to rig a full red wave instead of just a Trump win. It makes no sense to even point out "drop-off" as some sort of smoking gun.
"drop off" is held onto as an anomaly just because it was a little unusual this election. Because Trump's cult appeal and personalist style has made for an unusual "Republican" voting bloc. But to hold it up and claim foul play is the product of a conclusion in search of evidence.
If you're intent to find oddities in any data set, you can always examine it enough to get some oddities to pop out. This is a well known phenomenon.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Data_dr...
Data dredging - Wikipedia
Apr 15, 2025 04:59Yes, or pirate attacks.
That's not my point. What was different in 2024 among Trump/GOP voters that they behaved significantly different than in 2016 and 2020?
The answer to that question is why the United States of America ended. Pretty important question IMHO.