Michael Kofman
Senior Fellow, Carnegie Endowment. Defense analysis with a focus on the Russian and Ukrainian militaries.
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- Part 2 of my discussion with @shashj.bsky.social is out. Come for mass precision and maneuver warfare, stay for observations from the war relevant to European force planning and defense contingencies. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...
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- Latest Russia Contingency is out. @shashj.bsky.social joins me and we switch roles. This time he asks the questions as we dive into observations and lessons from the war. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...
- Interesting piece. www.iiss.org/online-analy...
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- Good conversation with @benjaminhart.bsky.social nymag.com/intelligence...
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- Part two of the latest Russia Contingency episode is out. Rob Lee and I talk tactics, tech, and innovation, updating our views based on the last field trip. @warontherocks.bsky.social warontherocks.com/episode/ther...
- Weekend long read. There’s quite a bit in here. www.nytimes.com/interactive/...
- Reposted by Michael KofmanAlmost every day, we hear about strikes against targets inside Russia, but we rarely get the full picture of their actual impact on the war. Radio Liberty and Frontelligence Insight have joined efforts to analyze hundreds of data points to answer this question. 🧵Thread
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- An update on the war following a recent trip. The situation has improved compared with Fall 2024. Russian offensive momentum slowed significantly over the winter, though it is premature to claim that the front has stabilized, especially following AFU withdrawal in Kursk. /1
- Latest Russia Contingency is out. Rob Lee joins me for a discussion on the situation in Kursk, state of the front, tech innovation, and tactical adaptation. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/episode/ther...
- Regarding Kursk. AFU is still withdrawing. I expect there will be equipment left behind, but there is no evidence of a mass encirclement.
- In Kursk, the main problem was RF interdiction of the few supply routes available, with one main road into Sudzha. As the Kursk pocket got squeezed it became increasingly unsustainable. These issues have been discussed for a long time.
- Latest WOTR episode is out. I join @constelz.bsky.social Justin Logan, Melinda Haring & @ryanevans.bsky.social to discuss last week’s events, US cut off of support, the growing rift with Ukraine & Europeans, and prospects for fixing it. @WarOnTheRocks warontherocks.com/2025/03/can-...
