Journal of Peace Research

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  Journal of Peace Research jpeaceresearch.bsky.social · May 12
  New publication alert! The article on the 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction Challenge is now out in JPR.
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  Journal of Peace Research jpeaceresearch.bsky.social · May 12
  By aiming to provide timely alerts to low-probability but high-impact conflict events, the challenge introduces the first shared, open-access infrastructure of its kind to support and improve future predictions of political violence.
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  Journal of Peace Research jpeaceresearch.bsky.social · May 12
  Read the article here: journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/...
  

  The 2023/24 VIEWS Prediction challenge: Predicting the number of fatalities in armed conflict, with uncertainty - Håvard Hegre, Paola Vesco, Michael Colaresi, Jonas Vestby, Alexa Timlick, Noorain Syed...

  Governmental and nongovernmental organizations have increasingly relied on early-warning systems of conflict to support their decisionmaking. Predictions of war...

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  Journal of Peace Research jpeaceresearch.bsky.social · May 12
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  This open access article brings together 24 contributions from 13 research teams to forecast armed conflict fatalities – with estimates of uncertainty.
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