Charly Salonius-Pasternak
Geopolitics analysis and advisory at Nordic West Office (CEO): US FP; transatlantic relations; Nordic defence; Finland; Technology & society.
‘Alumni of’: @fiia.fi, Wesleyan University, FDF J5, CCW at Oxford. Thousands of media interviews over the years.
- I am sure under no circumstances could this technology combine data incorrectly, with the end result that someone driving a recently sold, rented, or borrowed car is dragged out of it, handcuffed and shipped off to a black hole site, right?
- Nuorista jotka ovat yhteydessä Sekasin chattiin, määrä joka on yrittämässä itsemurhaa on tuplaantunut. Käsi sydämmellä Orpo, VM ja EK: tarvitaanko verojen leikkausta tai apua nuorille? PS: mitä tapahtuu maanpuolustus tahdolle ja kyvylle?
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- Todellakin, lapsi voi voida huonosti koska vanhempi voi, ja harva vanhempi haluaa että lapsi kärsii… kun haasteita on monia, ne kasautuu helposti. Kyllä siinä ’koko kylä’ tarvitaan. Kysymys lienee, miten kylän olemassaolo varmistetaan?
- Am not suggesting (b) - yet- (a) should be done, but Europe’s combined air power could (a) defend against all aerial threats / strikes by Russia and (b) obliterate Russia’s air and long-range strike capabilities. If we wanted to. It would not existentially threaten Russia, no matter what they’d say
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- Siis minä haluan sisseiksi juuri sellaisia jotka ei pyydä lupaa, tekee vaan hommat hyvin ja pieteetillä. tst-panssarivaunu kuljettajaksi sellaisen yhdet sakot nuoruudessa ottanut ja siitä viisastuneen tiimipelaajan.
- Nämä voi yhdistää: kyseisen majan rakentajista voi tulla erinomaisia reserviläisiä ;-)
- Not a fan of how Trump approaches politics, but I have to give credit when due: He's ready to meet people and make quick decisions - giving people in Syria hope is far more powerful than any "development assistance." ... and yes, obviously Trump is looking to benefit personally too, still, thumbs up
- Finnish MoD announces that to reach 1 million reservist target, age of possible service will be raised across private-NCO-officer scale to 65 years. In practice it'll apply to specialists w war-time assignment. www.iltalehti.fi/politiikka/a...
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- Vastaus: koska hallitusvastuussa viimeisen vuosikymmenen aikana olleet Suomalaiset puolueet ovat vähemmän kompetentteja talouden suhteen kuin kuvittelevat…koska se ei voi olla, että he välittäisivät kansalaisista ja luonnostamme vähemmän kuin (kv) yrityksistä.
- At the "max benefit of doubt" setting, they're imagining Calvin & Hobbes. In reality, they want to sell $300 teddy bears that are designed to be obsolete, because what kid wouldn't want to replace their fave teddy with v2.0 at age 5? ...or they really don't understand kids or parenting.
- A WARRIOR ETHOS IS NOT WHAT WINS WARS MY GOD
- #OPINION: Just months into 2025, the data tells a striking story: Military recruitment is back, and it’s booming. After years of a national security crisis, America’s warrior ethos is being revived, and young patriots are answering the call.
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- But then US might be a little more like Finland, and we’re too happy 😆 Went from Wesleyan U graduation to Finnish national service in some 3 weeks. Now a happy reservist captain.
- AI to make decisions in a crisis? Absolutely not! … like Carl says, would be category error. AI to provide scenarios (irrespective of likelihood) to for ex minimise groupthink? Yeah AI tool to help humans sift through hours of video to support intelligence work? Yes
- One cannot be but impressed that President Stubb continues to be a key interlocutor as Trump and Zelensky discuss cease fire and peace negotiations. PS I recognize that this also places Stubb in the unenviable position of having to downplay Trump's "other behaviour" yle.fi/a/74-20010573
- Will offer this paper 👇🏼 w @fiia.fi @sinkkonenville.bsky.social as a co-read to @celiabelin.bsky.social excellent paper fiia.fi/en/publicati...
- Tässä taas yksi Venäjän sabotaasi joka kohdistuu meihin kollektiivisesti - siis poliittiseen, taloudelliseen, ja sotilaalliseen liittolaiseen. Mitä tulemme tekemään? Luultavasti ei mitään. Puhumme resilienssistä. Miten tästä voi tehdä erittäin kallista Venäjälle? www.reuters.com/world/europe...
- "[VMn] vaikutusarviot eivät perustu mihinkään laskemiin." Vaihtoehto maailma: Hallituspuolueet: "280k reservi on liian kallis, lisätkää 10:1 kerroin Suomalaisten sotilaiden tehoon." Sanoisiko Puolustusvoimat, "Ok, ei laskelmien tarvitse korreloida todellisuuden kanssa"? Mitä VM tekisi?
- I usually say that Finnish Border Guards (who also do immigration control) have access to the heaviest set-ups among their brethren across the world: they have JTACs to call in A2G strikes, anti-armor weapons etc...but that's because they're frontline if Russia attacks. 👇guys = sad cosplay
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- Absolutely, and that's where training, processes, leadership, and a memory of the 'oath to serve' come in.
- ”Estimate how long a patient might live…” Wait, I feel like the might have been some Sci-fi thing on this… “We’re sorry Mr. King, while we could heal you, but our profit margin calculator suggests it is not worth it, because you’re only likely to live another 25 years…”
- I want some brave service provide in Helsinki, Finland to go public if similar demands were made here. On second thought, perhaps if companies rebranded their services as Opus DEI programmes, the Veep would be all over it and approve? ;-)
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- Missed this. Thank you.
- Toivoisin, että jokainen verovähennyksiä kinuava elinkeinoelämän johtaja (järjestö ja yritys) ja niitä antava poliitikko lukisi tämän ketjun ajatuksella - ”mitkä minusta riippumattomista syistä olevat asiat olisi voineet mennä eri tavalla, niin että tämä kuvaisi minua…”
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- Eli, kyllä siitä moni kantaa huolta, juuri tuosta näkökulmasta. Tulevassa kirjassani on parikin yhteiskunnan johtohahmoa jotka hahmottavat asiaa tämän(kin) kautta.
- Tämä ehkä avaa hieman omaa (historiallista) näkemystäni siitä, miksi Suomalaisten keskuudessa on ollut korkea maanpuolustustahto - ja se liittyy juuri siihen mikä maan suunta on ollut: engelsbergideas.com/essays/why-f...
- Just noting that two of these three are Finns. If you want firepower when it counts, Finland delivers...also on the military side.
- Only three players in Stanley Cup Playoffs history have recorded hat tricks in back-to-back games: ◽️ Doug Bentley (1944) ◽️ Jari Kurri (1985) ◽️ Mikko Rantanen (2025) H/T @snstats.bsky.social
- Trump's stance on migration is getting to be almost as bad as the EU's. But he still has some way to go to match the brutality and deadliness of European policy. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/06/u...
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View full threadHere's our 2021 investigation into how the EU pays Libyan militiamen to kidnap migrants at sea and imprison them in EU-funded gulags where torture, rape and murder are commonplace: www.newyorker.com/magazine/202...
- Thank you! Knew of the program but naively thought it actually largely did what it says on the tin. Based on your excellent reporting, obviously not. Cannot imagine even your ordeal, and can only thank you for your writing and work.
- Tämä on niin totta - ongelma rahoittajien (pankit, VCt jne) näkökulmasta on, että puuta ei voi patentoida ja kasvukäyrää ei mitata päivissä tai kuukausissa.
- I must have missed the kidnapping of people and sending them to foreign prison policy of the EU… could you provide a link ;-)
- Suomi tunnetaan Heavy-maana, ja vaeltaessani näen useimmiten matkassa kaksi ihmistä yhdessä, eli nämä piti tietenkin yhdistää kun puhun Helsingin 2025 Matkailuseminaarissa. Ei haittaa, että tässä epävakaassa maailmassa jää kuva, että nämä kaksi viikinkien jälkeläistä olisi sodassa meidän puolella.
- Toivoisin, ettet varastaisi kuvittajien työtä, ja käyttäisi AI-generoituja kuvia edes sosiaalisessa mediassa. Ystävällisin terveisin, Miä.
- Duly noted.
- Great to see that tourists have an overall more positive sentiment re Helsinki (food, lodging etc) than neighbouring Stockholm, Tallin etc. Also that a quarter of those in tourism business expect a better year this year… and that Iron Maiden concert & Pride are two top attractions for 2025
- ”Tasked to identify people in Greenland and Denmark who support U.S. objectives for the island.” Quislings. What they are looking for are quislings.
- WSJ: U.S. Orders Intelligence Agencies to Step Up Spying on Greenland Tasked to identify people in Greenland and Denmark who support U.S. objectives for the island. Collection-emphasis message went to CIA, DIA and NSA www.msn.com/en-us/news/p...
- They want to find their Ahmed Chalabi…perhaps some random Chinese arctic researcher who will represent “the clear and present threat” and there you have it.
- US Admin orders across the board increase of spying on Greenland My first reaction: WTF 2nd: Iraq 2001-2003 redux? 3rd: For the love of god, can every European political leader tell Trump to stuff it, and have all Nordic countries send forward land forces to Greenland, on a rotating basis.
- WSJ: U.S. Orders Intelligence Agencies to Step Up Spying on Greenland Tasked to identify people in Greenland and Denmark who support U.S. objectives for the island. Collection-emphasis message went to CIA, DIA and NSA www.msn.com/en-us/news/p...
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View full threadPreferably followed by a parliamentary statement on the usage of conscripts and reservists abroad for NATO-missions, so we would know what our policy is there...
- Oh, they know the policy but are too scared to make it public… so much for the ‘strong on defence’ @kokoomus.bsky.social … care for the backbone of Finnish military power - reservists - is low on their priority list.
- You know what would be really great right now? A joint press conference by the Finnish government and leader(s) of the opposition clearly stating that Finland - in accordance with our alliance commitments - will assist Denmark with such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force.
- Agree 100%
- just so we’re all clear: the reason they keep using dolls as their example is because they’re trying to frame caring about material stuff as feminine and thus inherently shameful
- You mean they won’t lean into the “your guns and ammo will be more expensive and you should bear it, because we don’t want you to defend the constitution” -messaging?
- About to speak at Helsinki travel conference. Will have to remind all involved in tourism though their companies or #VisitFinland & #VisitHelsinki that they should lean into the “Finland is safe for tourists. We don’t even joke about deporting you to a foreign prison” -message ;-)
- Imagine being a European NATO ally & user of US munitions, and then realizing that the NatSec decision making process is this broken, when you need JDAMs, AMRAAMS, JASSMs etc. Yes, there are differences, countries should always prepare for things not to work out as originally planned, but...
- Question: because so much of the Silicon Valley tech world views 2 years ago as “ancient history” and rhetoric is about big changes coming tomorrow, does it impact those guys ability to comprehend actual human timelines, how something that occurred 10, 50, 100 years ago is frequently important?
- So Trump wasn't "the dream" for businesses or its press? Is anyone surprised? Were there really business decision makers who did not see this coming? If so, whose advice were they listening to?
- Trump ei sulje pois sotilaallisen voiman käyttöä Tanskaa vastaan. Tämän pitäisi johtaa Artikla 4 keskusteluihin NATOssa, ja Suomen poliittisen johdon kriittisiin lausuntoihin. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2025...
- Tämä oli varmaan se tutkimus mitä Suomen hallitus käytti tehdessään veroihin liittyviä päätöksiä väliriihessä? Eikö? Yhteisövero ei (taas) ole niin korkea, että se olisi investointeihin keskeisesti vaikuttava asia.
- So USG classified biz was done on a 3rd party app. What, the FREE OG Signal was too good and they went for the Temu-Signal -version???
- Haluan maksaa veroni, mutta jonkun insinöörin kehittämä järjestelmä ei mahdollista sitä. Onnistunut järjestelmä. Onko surkeampaa asikaspalvelukokemusta kuin vero.fi ?
- For everyone who suggests Europe look to the US for economic inspiration, because of its "dynamic nature" and "growth", centuries ago we tried what is suggested here (families working for one employer generation after generation), let's not do techno-feudalism, nor listen to the US on this.
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- Cars are a prime example: There are a number of reasons why "American cars" (ft. Mexico and Canada) aren't big sellers in the rest of the world: quality and design (they are designed for US tastes, sizes, fuel consumption etc).
- The actions of these law enforcement agents reminds me of brief re US SOF actions in Afghanistan. The US ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️ in Kabul said (not publicly, small room) that 20-25% of SOF raids got wrong person/family, and that this was the norm/acceptable. kfor.com/news/local/w...
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- Poliittinen ohjaus ja painostus muuttaa perustavanlaatuisia analyysejä joihin muu valtionhallinto ym nojaa ovat eri asioita, näetkö ensimmäisen tai / ja jälkimmäisen myös?
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View full thread"If" ??
- They have a defense force, but they need a defense system which has genuine cross-society support, and a "comprehensive defence" approach, for ex: warontherocks.com/2025/04/taiw...
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- Taiwan is defensible, if they also build their defense system for that purpose, including making it possible to integrate assistance from others.
