Chris Hanretty
I teach politics at a university in the UK. I'm interested in electoral systems, public opinion, and the politics of non-majoritarian institutions like courts and regulators.
ORCID: 0000-0002-8932-9405
- In Madrid, preparing to go out and eat at eight o'clock. Please rate me on a scale from zero to gringo.
- Reposted by Chris HanrettyA great example of using (very) small area geographies to generate headline-grabbing statistics. Bradford Central is a mid-level super output area, one of 63 in the Bradford local authority area. It accounts for 1.2% of the population. 81% of Bradford residents were born in the UK (Census 2021).
- 🚨 NEW: Robert Jenrick backs PM with claim UK already an ‘island of strangers’ in some places “Aggressive levels of mass migration have made us more divided... for example central Bradford - 50 per cent of people were born outside of the UK”, he said Full story ⤵️ www.politics.co.uk/news/2025/05...
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- Debates re whether accepting a Qatari plane is "corrupt" makes parallels between Berlusconi & Trump even clearer The centre-left governments of the late 1990s wasted years pushing forward "reasonable" legislation to govern conflicts of interest They got played You can't halfway house this stuff
- Bit underwhelmed by this IRT paper now out in the APSR. You can get an article for saying, "constrain your discrimination parameters for selected items"? Haven't people been doing that for a long time? www.cambridge.org/core/journal...
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- Reposted by Chris HanrettyTomorrow there's a big White Paper on immigration (www.gov.uk/government/n...). Whatever else it does, it's bound to refuel Labour’s internal debate about net migration -- a debate full of assumptions about public opinion. Strap in for a long thread about a survey testing some of those assumptions.
- Political scientists are obligated to repost news of elections decided by single votes. I'm sorry, but I don't make the rules.
- Peeps, who has recommendations for non-Kindle ereaders? My current Kindle is dying and I want to break out of the Amazon walled garden.
- Just watched The Taste of Things / La Passion de Dodin Bouffant, and oh my god it is the Frenchest film possible, a neutron star of frenchness so dense, and yet light and airy at the same time
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- There's a lot to disagree with concerning the response format (two ways to say yes, really?). But I dislike the fact that a lot of people aren't really democrats.
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- Worth a read throughout, but this does make me ask why Stata silently drops things it can't estimate (see the paper in the last post in the thread, section "An RDD impossible to estimate")
- 🚨 REPLICATION REPORT UPDATE: One year ago, a tweet by John Holbein alerted me, @ollefolke.bsky.social, and @jopieboy.bsky.social to a paper with a shocking result about Sweden’s law criminalizing the purchase of sex.🧵
- Reposted by Chris HanrettyAdmittedly not the biggest news in geopolitics today, but govt has finally staged an intervention in Warrington council, after years of warnings about its risky investments, £1.9bn in debt, five years of outstanding accounts and the resignation of its auditors last summer on.ft.com/3GYndRe
- Betfair thinks Parolin has got it.
- I've been looking at recent Arab Barometer data. The survey asks respondents to rate four countries (USA, Germany, China, their own country) on a scale from zero ("no democracy whatsoever") to ten ("democratic to the greatest extent possible"). Some of the comparative judgements are crazy (1/n)
- TFW when you check real GDP growth 2013 to 2023 and find it's lower than the feeble growth of the 1970s
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- On campus for an event, surrounded by the dull-set, sometimes dulcet tones of students revising Land Law (God have mercy on them).
- Reposted by Chris Hanrettythis is art
- Published some notes on Microsoft's phi4-reasoning model, an 11GB download (via Ollama) which may well overthink things... it produced 56 sentences of reasoning output in response to my prompt of "hi" simonwillison.net/2025/May/6/p...
- Reposted by Chris HanrettyWe're organizing another round of the Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology 🎉 summerschoolwpm.org Our super-cool speakers include msands.bsky.social @allisonwkoh.bsky.social @melinscribe.bsky.social @rebeccakittel.bsky.social @fabiennelind.bsky.social & @indiiigo.bsky.social 📆01/05
- 🚨 Join us for the next edition Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology in Bremen 🚨 Open to PhD students and early career scholars Fully-funded places available for applicants, deadline 1st of May 📅 summerschoolwpm.org
- What is the German for franchi tiratori? Or better put - what is the Italian for schadenfreude?
- When you headline an article "X is criticized for Y", you usually have to say *who* is criticising, no? nation.cymru/news/plaid-c...
- I almost always delete my union's CPD courses email, but having to delete it on a bank holiday Monday is extra special
- Reposted by Chris HanrettyEvery now again it’s useful to repeat advice about accessing papers that are behind a paywall that excludes you. Email the author. My estimate is that 90% of academics are so thrilled that a living, breathing, possibly even reading, person shows interest that they will swiftly send you a copy.
- One thing I struggle with is the big gap between (i) some huge, causally identified effects of compulsory voting dx.doi.org/10.1561/100.... and doi.org/10.1111/ajps... (ii) the very small differences between voters and non-voters in systems without compulsory voting
