Kautious
Kautious: Your financial copilot for seamless collaboration, advanced analytics, and powerful integrations. Intelligent workflows, enterprise-grade API.
- eToro rang Nasdaq’s bell at $52/share—above its $46–50 target—raising $620M at a $4.2B valuation. Debut print peaked at $69.69, tagged $72+ for a 38% pop, leaving Robinhood behind. Zero‐fee crypto crossover remains king. Next: Circle, Animoca & more IPOs.
- Trump's Gulf tour hit hard: $600B from Saudi (with eyes on $1T) secured in Riyadh, Doha & Abu Dhabi, Qatar’s $200B+ Boeing mega-order for 160 jets, and a $38B Al Udeid deal—with whispers of $300B+ SWF in US tech and real estate. #Investing
- BOEING lands a historic $200B+ Qatar order for 160+ jets—the biggest ever. Stock surges 30% in a month, holding the 200MA & breaking out of a 6-year base. April deliveries doubled YoY as China reopens its skies. Buckle up, $BA bulls!
- SALT deductions capped at $10K ($5K for singles) under the 2017 law expire in 2025, burdening high-tax states. GOP proposal would lift the cap to $30K for joint filers (income ≤$400K), with tapering for higher incomes—fueling debates over fairness and revenue.
- Risk-on as $USD slips from 102 to ~100.3 (100.28-100). Resistance at 100.86-101. Breakdown spurs muted EM flows then a break-up ignites USD roar. Equities: $SPY +0.3%, $QQQ +0.4%; $VIX <18; BTC RSI near oversold (~$103K). Soft CPI & Fed-cut hopes fuel rally. Stay alert.
- US 10YR yields breached 4.45% (5% sharpening) amid cool CPI/PPI. China offloads Treasuries; dollar stumbles, equities & 30YR mortgages near 7%. Stagflation returns—Fed cuts are fantasy, gold screams buy. Buckle up. #US10Y #BondVigilantes #Stagflation #Gold
- Morning check-in: TSLA +3% pre-market, joining NVDA & SMCI as May 14 top gainers with 5th gap-up & 23.7% weekly surge. Board re-examines 2018 pay amid sell signals. Quick trades yield wins at supply zones while others post huge gains. Tesla eyes 95% humanoid robot market & asteroid mining. #Tesla
- Morning Market Buzz 🔥 SPY +0.3% | QQQ +0.4% | DXY –0.3%. Premarket: NVDA +3.1%, AMD +3.5%, TSLA +3% on SA AI deal & eased chip caps; SMCI +16% after $20B DataVolt pact. Watch NVDA >$134, TSLA $336–360, AAPL 214–215. Keep stops tight. #AI #Semis #MacroTrading
- 🚀 Ray Dalio’s Deal Blueprint: 1️⃣ Align interests for win-win 2️⃣ Leverage cash, time & alternatives 3️⃣ Master psychology: ego, trust & risk Pro tips: plan 3 moves ahead, think in odds Adapt to cycles & geopolitics #DealMaking #Negotiation
- Lula & Xi meet in Beijing to forge a golden era with 30+ deals spanning mining, infra, ports & jets, a $28B currency swap & a $9B LatAm credit line. They vow to defend free trade & multilateralism as $EWZ jumps +3% and Brazil swallows China’s soy market.
- UnitedHealth meltdown: UNH down ~49% from April highs as CEO leaves & 2025 guidance withdrawn after a major medical-cost blowout. One-day drop >18% (largest since ’98) with shares at ~12x FWD EPS, 2.8% div, & 6-8% FCF yield. Options show heavy 5/16 $300 puts & June $350 calls. RSI, volume capitulate
- HOOD soared from below $30 in April to ~$63—over 100% gains—and nears all-time highs. With a ~$35B market cap, it's funds' fave, boasting 26M users vs Coinbase’s 110M, and the Canada buy of WonderFi is live. S&P inclusion chatter & red-hot call flow: buckle up. #FinTwit
- Airbnb at an inflection point: Brian Chesky’s next chapter arrives May 13. H2 sees $200–250M into a rebuilt app & AI Travel Concierge mixing flights, dining, rides & loyalty in every stay—or none 🤔. Bulls note a 27% April surge; yet US travel softness challenges growth. #ABNB #FinTwit #TravelTech
- Congress is in a $4T tax fight: Trump's plan renews 2017 cuts, drops taxes on tips, overtime & Social Security, and adds EV & factory breaks. But SALT wars & Medicaid/SNAP offsets loom. House by June, Senate by summer. Model 2026 stresses cap gains, corp rates & tariffs.
- Tech Jenga: $MSFT cuts >50% managers/non-coders after 2.5K gaming hires, $6B debt surge & Skype’s May sunset. Feb layoffs hit 172K (1/3 fed); public cuts may hit NFP. $SPY steady, $QQQ jittery, $MSFT Death Cross lit. AI writes 30% code. #TechLayoffs #AI
- In Q1 calls, 24% of S&P500 execs warned of a recession and 62% fear a slowdown, yet the market stays unmoved. Goldman now estimates a 35% risk and revises Q2 GDP to +2.4%. S&P up 1,000 pts from April lows with a win streak since ’04. Soft landing? Banana Zone liquidity. 🍌📈
- Happy CPI day! Markets are green—SPX near 5900, QQQ at 515. Palantir bulls enjoyed a 4.3% pump from $115, closing at 105 & now 8x richer. BofA upped its PT to $150. Alex Karp’s Saudi meet adds geopolitical spice. XMAS in May for $PLTR? Buckle up—the AI party begins.
- Nissan posts a thriller quarter: $4.5B loss, 20K jobs cut, 7 plant closings & a U-turn on its $1.1B Kyushu EV battery. CEO Espinosa’s Re:Nissan plan tackles cost cuts, a weak EV range & a Wuhan shutdown by 2026. Can Godzilla roar again? #AutoIndustry #Restructuring #EVTransition
- Riyadh stole the show as Trump landed in Saudi for MAGA in the Desert forum with MBS, Fink, Musk, Zuckerberg & Altman. Energy, defense & mining deals were struck, with up to $1T pledged for US markets. #Investing #Vision2030 #Finance #Geopolitics
- US 10-yr yields hit 4.44%, near the 4.5% alarm that halted tariffs. With a $4T+ deficit, 120%+ debt/GDP & inflation jitters, yields could break 5% unless policy tightens or a big trade deal comes. Equities high, USD firm; inversion warns recession. #UST10Y #Rates #Inflation #Fed
- April US CPI: 2.3% YoY (+0.2% MoM, below 2.4% & 0.3% exp); Core 2.8% YoY/0.2% MoM—3rd month cooling despite tariffs. Stocks & BTC up; 10yr yields & USD down. India CPI 3.16% (6yr low): food 1.78%, rural 2.92%, urban 3.36%. Next: June FOMC, gold/FX volatile. Buckle up!
- WSJ dropped a bomb: $AAPL partners with Synchron on brain-computer interfaces so ALS & spinal injury patients can use thoughts to control iPhones & Vision Pro. Sci-fi? More ASAP for techs. Meanwhile, $TEN supporters earn rewards faster than a latte brews—alpha waits for no one.
- US–China 90-day tariff truce sparks risk-on rally: S&P +2.8%, Nasdaq +3.6%. Dollr firm, gold snoozes, and 10‐yr Treasury yields jump +8bps to ~4.45%—their highest since April. Investors swap bonds for equities as Fed‐cut odds fade fast.
- Momentum trades sputtering? Not logistics! India's fresh policy eyes $450bn by '29, with promoters scooping SJ & Snowman. Top plays: CONCOR, Gateway, Allcargo, VRL, Mahindra, TCI Ex, GATI, Snowman, Delhivery, TVS & Navkar. Breakouts: Aegis & Allcargo flash buy. Logistics in motion!
- Supply-chain shock: Flexport’s AIS: China-US ships ride 0.6m higher—emptier—after bookings fell 60% since April 9. LA imports -35% YoY; 30% sailings canceled. Even 80% vs 145% tariffs wreck biz models. Vietnam is now #1 origin. Swiss trade talks loom—strap in.
- US-China trade progress sparks rallies: S&P +1.1%, Nikkei +1.3%, Hang Seng +3%; yen >¥146, 10-yr yields near 4.5%. Tokyo's PM Ishiba draws red line: no deal without auto tariff relief (0% on cars & corn). DC eyes mini-FTAs with 20 nations. Buckle up. #TradeTalks #FX #Bonds #Autos
- Tesla re-enters $1T club on US–China tariff relief (+6.6%). Support at $311, rally past $318; a close over $325 eyes $363+ via inverse H&S breakout. Forecast: 1.5M robotaxis by 2030 (~$250B US revenue). Ignore GM autopilot chatter—price action rules.
- Trump's 'total reset' slashes U.S. super-tariffs on China from 145% to 30% for 90 days (Beijing cuts theirs to 10%), while existing autos, steel, aluminum & pharma duties remain. Dow soars +1,000; Fed bets on Sept rate cuts. Flip-flop or masterstroke?
- Amazon crushed its $203 target, flirting with $210 (+8.8% pre-market) on U.S.–China 90-day tariff pause. Big tech’s cash vaults—$AAPL, $GOOGL, $AMZN & $MSFT—are loaded. Morning scanners lit on AVGO, META & HIMS, CTMX surged 174%, while RH & BBY led a retail rally. Buckle up! 🚀💼
- US/China 90-day truce cuts tariffs to 10% 🛡️. Premarket MAG7: $AMZN +8%, $TSLA +8%, $AAPL +7%, $META +6%, $NVDA +4.5% 🚀. Fed’s Kugler at 10:25am—brace for noise. Apple surges due to iPhone 17 price & ChatGPT buzz. Semis, China ADRs & retail lead risk-on. Eyes on $SPY/$QQQ.
- Wall St reacts: Trump's EO ties drug prices to global MFN, promising 30-80% cuts (59% snippet). $PFE, $LLY, $MRK fall ~5-7%. Medicare (30% spend) impacted; trillions in savings vs risks to courts & innovation. Rally fuel or bear catalyst? #Healthcare #Investing
- Pro traders: 90-day US-China tariff truce slashes levies from >100% to 30%—markets roared. $SPY+3%, $QQQ+4%, Tesla+8%, Apple+7%, gapping above 200-day MAs. Gold dips, oil pops, Bitcoin@104k, VIX~20. Fed cut hints & CPI/PPI ahead—lock gains, respect tape & prep exit.
- BREAKING: US & China agree on a 90-day tariff truce. US cuts 145%→30% (with 20% fentanyl carve-out); China cuts 125%→10%. Markets surge: Dow +2.5%, S&P +3%, Nasdaq +3.9%; VIX <20, oil up, gold down. Bessent: no decoupling. Risk-on for now.
- Geo-risk priced in until Trump-style diplomacy spurs action: Zelensky demands ceasefire pre-talks; India-Pakistan pause; China-US trade truce nears; Gaza negotiations resume. Risk-on sentiment drives yield moves.
- Morning: S&P +1.4%, Nasdaq +1.6%, Dow +1.3% on CME gap that traders say will fill if Sino talks disappoint. U.S.-China talks & Trump's tariff hints push risk-on. Bitcoin ATH vs S&P, small caps buzz, tech AI bid & retail bulls amid D.C. lawmakers' hot portfolios.
- Trader alert: India's 100-hr Operation Sindoor wiped out Pakistani airbases – the first strike on a nuclear neighbor – forcing Pakistan to seek a US ceasefire. Baloch investors eye IMF post-war rebuilds as defense spends, geo-risk, FX shocks, bonds & arms-tech deals surge.
- US & China’s Geneva trade reset cuts Trump’s 145% tariffs to ~80% (50% in spots), kicks off a consult process & hints Beijing may buy more US goods to trim a $295B deficit. Stocks & crypto rallied, but IP tussles & consumer pain linger. Details Monday. Buckle up!
- Auto tariff cliff: April sales surged as buyers rushed to dodge 25% duties. GM warns of a $5B hit, Ford ditches 2025 guidance, and studies report $2K–$12K extra per car. Trump’s 3.75% parts rebate delays cuts, but 25% persists. Will OEMs absorb costs or hike prices?
- Maple-syrup markets on edge as Canada’s jobless rate dips to 6.9% in April (highest since 2017): +39,300 unemployed, -31,000 in manufacturing; Windsor at 10.7%. Net +7,500 jobs & LFPR 65.3%. Tariff drama sparks BoC rate-cut talk & Carney’s 2M+ immigrant drive. #CanadaJobs #TradeWar #BoC
- Lyft Q1 joyride: Gross bookings up 13% to $4.16B, rides +16% YoY, rev up 14% to $1.45B, active riders +11%, EPS $0.01, EBITDA $106.5M (+79%), FCF ~$280M. Board hikes buyback to $750M (deploy $500M/12m). Goldman: Buy, $20 PT. Trades at 14×'25 EPS vs Uber’s 30×. #RideHailing #Earnings
- Tesla rockets: $TSLA soared past $300, hugging $290 support. Up 5% today, now below $50B/$1T cap. Cup-and-handle with bull-flag breakout signals target $350+ by June. Robotaxi buzz & rate-cut hints. Buckle up, bulls!
- Crypto CeFi caution: ex-Celsius CEO Alex Mashinsky gets 12 years for multi-billion fraud that froze $7B and trapped 1.7M investors. DOJ sought 20; court settled on 12. From CEL pumps to deposit misuse, it warns of centralized lending risks—self-custody is king, BTC bulls cheer.
- AH fireworks: Trade Desk +17%, TMDX +12% (beat & raise), Pinterest +15% on 16% rev growth to $855M with 570M MAUs (+10%) and $960–980M Q2 guide fueled by AI ads & Gen Z mojo. Cloudflare +11%, Lyft +12%; Affirm (-6%) & Expedia (-9%) lag. Tech bulls, popcorn ready!
- Fri: Trump mulls 80% China tariff; Nvidia rushes H20 AI chip to China. TSM up on strong Apr sales; NVDA steady. Beats: Lyft, Trade Desk, Pinterest, Paramount vs soft Affirm, Coinbase. Bitcoin tops A/G; Injective tokenizes $AAPL $MSFT $AMZN $NFLX $META $NVDA $TSLA. Tariff talks, India & Fed talk.
- CrowdStrike under scrutiny: US probes the Carahsoft deal while insiders reportedly offload $35M ahead of 5% workforce cuts amid AI efficiency claims. A double top may be near, but strong fund flows & momentum keep $CRWD on growth lists. Tread carefully.
- Market: Apple's CEO delays Siri's 'personal' AI until flawless; AAPL forges chips for smart glasses & AI servers. Rival GPU firms side with TSMC, not NVDA. WTI nears $60, triggering a $COP squeeze. Bitcoin leaps past Amazon to 5th cap. Tip: focus on core names ($AAPL $MSFT $AMZN $NVDA $TSLA).