James Dennison
Political and social scientist
Prof @mpc-eui.bsky.social @eui-eu.bsky.social; Visitor @theeuropecenter.bsky.social
Interests: attitudes, behaviour, comms, migration, quant, 🇬🇧 & 🇪🇺 politics
www.jamesdennison.eu
- Great paper that vindicates the idea that Brexit was a “critical juncture” in the cleavage theory vain
- Out now and open access at @ispp-pops.bsky.social (with @florianstoeckel.bsky.social)! How deep does animosity between Leavers and Remainers go, and years out from the Brexit referendum, does it remain? 🧵 doi.org/10.1111/pops...
- Reposted by James Dennison
Nothing to see here, just Israel deliberately murdering a journalist in a hospital. - Reposted by James Dennison🚨 What is the "Great Replacement Theory" & who believes it? 🚨 In our forthcoming IMR paper, @jamesrdennison.bsky.social and I treat GRT as layered narratives, from demographic change to the elite plot. A representative German survey shows broad public agreement with several of these layers.
- Reposted by James DennisonNot much to be said that hasn't already, but Labour's immigration policy/strategy is the wrong way around. Better to quietly deliver a fair/controlled system (to later point to numbers that were falling anyway) and lowered temperature/salience of the issue - so have a strong rebuttal at next GE.
- Reposted by James Dennison🚨 REPLICATION REPORT UPDATE: One year ago, a tweet by John Holbein alerted me, @ollefolke.bsky.social, and @jopieboy.bsky.social to a paper with a shocking result about Sweden’s law criminalizing the purchase of sex.🧵
- Reposted by James DennisonWho buys in? • AfD: 75% weak, 55% strong • CDU / FDP: 40–50% weak, 15–20% strong • SPD / Greens / Linke: 10–20% weak, 5% strong Even after we control for demographics, the full conspiracy clusters around AfD. But the "weak" version reaches well into the mainstream.
- Reposted by James DennisonAnother interesting paper that strengthens the “pathological normalcy” thesis.
- 🚨 What is the "Great Replacement Theory" & who believes it? 🚨 In our forthcoming IMR paper, @jamesrdennison.bsky.social and I treat GRT as layered narratives, from demographic change to the elite plot. A representative German survey shows broad public agreement with several of these layers.
- Reposted by James DennisonImportant read 👇
- 🚨 What is the "Great Replacement Theory" & who believes it? 🚨 In our forthcoming IMR paper, @jamesrdennison.bsky.social and I treat GRT as layered narratives, from demographic change to the elite plot. A representative German survey shows broad public agreement with several of these layers.
- Reposted by James DennisonIsso é importante demais, pq a extrema-direita da Europa e da América (continente) inteira acreditam nisso. E da pra incluir a África do Sul nessa também. Mas como tem doido de país colonizado que acredita nisso? Porque eles defendem que o europeu branco não foi colonizador, mas "conquistador".
- 🚨 What is the "Great Replacement Theory" & who believes it? 🚨 In our forthcoming IMR paper, @jamesrdennison.bsky.social and I treat GRT as layered narratives, from demographic change to the elite plot. A representative German survey shows broad public agreement with several of these layers.
- Reposted by James DennisonWe find that about 20% (!) of German adults believe in the strong version of the "great replacement theory"—that white majorities are being deliberately replaced by non-white immigrants in a secretive attempt by malevolent elites to undermine their own country
- 🚨 What is the "Great Replacement Theory" & who believes it? 🚨 In our forthcoming IMR paper, @jamesrdennison.bsky.social and I treat GRT as layered narratives, from demographic change to the elite plot. A representative German survey shows broad public agreement with several of these layers.
- Reposted by James Dennison
- Reposted by James DennisonIt's hard to overstate the extent to which high government debt can bend politics out of shape. The reform crisis in the 1830s, Chartism in the 1840s, the General Strike in the 1920s, austerity and rationing after 1945 - all were linked to the politics of public debt.
- Reposted by James DennisonWhat is Ukraine now? We are a living shield for Europe. We are also a state-of-the-art testing ground. This is what happened. We didn’t choose this. Ukraine buys time for our allies. Ukraine gives allies the opportunity to gain invaluable experience in modern warfare between two regular armies.
- Reposted by James DennisonThe obvious solution is to hire some, and then fire them.
- Reposted by James Dennison*Wakes up* *Rubs eyes* Ah, so far looks... pretty much as expected, but with Reform at the very high end of expectations? www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
- Reposted by James DennisonBritish attitudes to ‘Europe’ have been long characterised as ‘reluctant’. @jamesrdennison.bsky.social explores the exception between 1988–1992 - Britain’s Pro-European Moment: buff.ly/3D41PIx (OPEN ACCESS) @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social #ECRs #polsky @sagepub.com #polsci
- I'm excited to be presenting "Europhoria!" today in London at QMUL's British History Today conference at 16:00. Details here: projects.history.qmul.ac.uk/qmcbs/britis...
- British attitudes to ‘Europe’ have been long characterised as ‘reluctant’. @jamesrdennison.bsky.social explores the exception between 1988–1992 - Britain’s Pro-European Moment: buff.ly/3D41PIx (OPEN ACCESS) @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social #ECRs #polsky @sagepub.com #polsci
- Reposted by James DennisonAn @icij.org investigation discovered NZ police brokered secret meetings on New Zealand soil for Chinese authorities to interview Beijing's corruption targets, with at least one returning to China. #ChinaTargets @paulapenfold.bsky.social www.stuff.co.nz/nz-news/3606...
- Reposted by James DennisonThis is a new image from #JWST. The bright points with spikes are stars in the Milky Way. Everything else is a galaxy. Everything. Else. Is. A. Galaxy.
- I agree that this is a stupid op-ed. But it’s not and doesn’t reflect govt policy or even public opinion. It’s just a man clumsily trying to make himself relevant at home after a long time away.
- 🚨🚨 #brexit: I also took a closer look on Nick Clegg's contested piece on the future of the European Union. I share concerns voiced by other observers here on the style of the piece which oozes of self-assured British arrogance and #cakeism. Brief 🧵 observer.co.uk/news/opinion...
- Reposted by James Dennison🚨Last days to apply!🎉 summerschoolwpm.org
- We're organizing another round of the Summer School for Women* in Political Methodology 🎉 summerschoolwpm.org Our super-cool speakers include msands.bsky.social @allisonwkoh.bsky.social @melinscribe.bsky.social @rebeccakittel.bsky.social @fabiennelind.bsky.social & @indiiigo.bsky.social 📆01/05
- Reposted by James DennisonHere's some good news! The file drawer problem may have diminished in recent years, at least in social science survey experiments "This suggests increased recognition of the importance of null results." www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...
- Reposted by James DennisonLetter requesting sending 180K European troops to Ukraine, finally some clear language. @guyverhofstadt.bsky.social supports the idea, we need more leaders like him.
- 🚨🚨 #ukrainewar: Important open letter by 500 intellectuals imploring European countries to send 180,000 European troops to defend #Ukraine ahead of another possible #Russian invasion. via @euromaidanpress.bsky.social euromaidanpress.com/2025/04/24/e...
- Reposted by James DennisonIt would be interesting to know what is the rationale behind not including any of the hidden costs of conscription in defence expenditure. Accurate estimates are difficult, but ~35% of Finns spending at least 5,5 months training very obviously has a cost greater than zero. yle.fi/a/74-20153703
- Reposted by James DennisonLib Dem policy of fining people for playing music without headphones on public transport likely to be VERY popular. @ipsosintheuk.bsky.social research shows 8 in 10 find it unacceptable behaviour. More here www.ipsos.com/en-uk/what-d...
- Reposted by James DennisonWhen there's only one Easter card left at Hallmark.
- Reposted by James Dennison
- Really interesting new paper: voters of right-wing parties are less aligned with their party ideologically, w lots of ramifications … but this is changing on socio-cultural issues
- 📢 Excited to share my publication in the EJPR! I examine ideological alignment, arguing for asymmetry—left-wing partisans are more aligned than the right. Analyzing 15 countries, 20 issues, and two time points, I reveal evidence and limits of this asymmetry. 🧵 doi.org/10.1111/1475...
- Reposted by James DennisonNew paper out in @electoralstudies.bsky.social w/ @danjdevine.bsky.social & @jwfurlong.bsky.social What drives the link between university study and attitudinal change? www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...
- Reposted by James DennisonFantastic graphic from the WSJ. Trump just increased the price of a iPhone by nearly 60 percent. Obviously completely unsustainable so won’t be sustained. An American Liz Truss moment
- Reposted by James DennisonSo, philosophers tend to have these occupational tics, right?
- Reposted by James DennisonWe have updated the #Migration Communication Campaigns Database. You can use it to discover narratives, stories, and representations of migration. This is a project by the @mpc-eui.bsky.social with @jamesrdennison.bsky.social and @mcduarte.bsky.social. migrationpolicycentre.eu/campaigns/
- Reposted by James DennisonThis Wednesday 👇🏽 How do narratives shape our experiences? Why do some spread more than others? Join @jamesrdennison.bsky.social as he explores how narratives influence public opinion on #migration 📅 26 March | 15:00 CET 🌍 Hybrid 🔗 Register here: migrationpolicycentre.eu/events/?id=5...
- Reposted by James Dennison🚨Why do masses support democratic backsliding?🚨 A new @AJPS_Editor paper with Yotam Margalit, @liorsheffer.bsky.social and Itamar Yakir explores this question in the Israeli context. Our findings emphasize the role of leader attachment and affective polarization. doi.org/10.1111/ajps...
- Reposted by James DennisonNEW: Elon Musk’s X has suspended accounts of Turkish opposition groups, suppressing footage of anti-government protests. So, best we share all the footage we can here! This was last night’s massive demo against Erdogan’s government, which follows the arrest of his rival Ekrem İmamoğlu. 🇹🇷 #Turkey
- Reposted by James DennisonThis is normie gold and a tone that is going to resonate with a lot of people.
- Reposted by James DennisonHey so this is out now! Ever wondered when to measure covariates in a survey experiment? Our paper goes through the tradeoffs of measuring them pre vs post treatment using nonparametric bounds. cup.org/4htpJf6
- Reposted by James DennisonMigration communication campaigns are on the rise across Europe and there's a need to make sense of them, as noted by @jamesrdennison.bsky.social, @lorenzopiccoli.bsky.social, & Mariana C. Duarte in this #LSE blog 📌 blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2... 🧵
- As Trump menaces us in Canada, we have a question for Britain: when will you stand up to him? www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
- Reposted by James Dennison💥 New: Making sense of Europe’s boom in migration communication campaigns ✍️ @jamesrdennison.bsky.social @lorenzopiccoli.bsky.social & @mcduarte.bsky.social @jeppjournal.bsky.social blogs.lse.ac.uk/europpblog/2...
- Reposted by James DennisonVoters' priorities are overlooked but crucial for understanding elections & policy change. Our explainer w. @jamesrdennison.bsky.social breaks down why they matter, and why "winning" in a "popularism" sense isn't just about taking the right positions on any issue: goodauthority.org/news/good-to...
- Reposted by James DennisonRoughly where Yotvingia would be today if it had survived and become one of the Baltic states (the Yotvingians died out or had merged into other populations by c.1700)
- Reposted by James Dennison[This post could not be retrieved]
- Reposted by James Dennison[This post could not be retrieved]
- Reposted by James DennisonI guess it's easy to balk at eurobonds on the balmy Atlantic coast. But if European deterrence fails, life will become less comfortable in the Netherlands also. This kind of behaviour -- unwillingness to fund a public good, even jointly -- is beyond irresponsible.
- Reposted by James DennisonHow should Europe structure its response to the threats coming from the White House and elsewhere? Together with @marcobuti.bsky.social, Roel Beetsma & Kalin Jansve, we developed a plan @bruegel.bsky.social ⤵️ www.bruegel.org/analysis/thi...
- This is pure spin designed to ring alarm bells about UK getting a better deal
- Reposted by James DennisonExcited to share that my paper on citizen-to-citizen persuasion, co-authored with Carlos Rueda-Cañòn and @tjryan02.bsky.social, was just accepted at the Journal of Politics @thejop.bsky.social . Link: www.journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10.1086/... 🧵
- A wonderful photo for those who believe in Europe working together as a geopolitical force. It has a touch of the immediate postwar period about it. Notable who is and isn’t in attendance. 🩵💛
- Reposted by James DennisonI remember those times! Fascinating in-depth analysis of the heydays of British EU membership by @jamesrdennison.bsky.social
- British attitudes to ‘Europe’ have been long characterised as ‘reluctant’. @jamesrdennison.bsky.social explores the exception between 1988–1992 - Britain’s Pro-European Moment: buff.ly/3D41PIx (OPEN ACCESS) @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social #ECRs #polsky
- Reposted by James DennisonBritish attitudes to ‘Europe’ have been long characterised as ‘reluctant’. @jamesrdennison.bsky.social explores the exception between 1988–1992 - Britain’s Pro-European Moment: buff.ly/3D41PIx (OPEN ACCESS) @polstudiesassoc.bsky.social @uoypolitics.bsky.social #ECRs #polsky
- Reposted by James Dennison“Spain is investing the money in the national rail system, low-emissions zones in towns and cities, as well as in the electric vehicle industry and subsidies for small businesses...” "The country's green energy output is seen as another favourable factor." www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...
- Reposted by James DennisonThe EU 1) advances in crises, 2) has monetary & fiscal room, 3) trades way more with itself & others than with US, 4) can fill opportunity gaps vacated by US, 5) offers investors stability vs Trump chaos. A counter-intuitive case to be bullish on 🇪🇺: economic-research.bnpparibas.com/html/en-US/F...
- Reposted by James DennisonFan of surveys and survey experiments, consider using the Belgian probability panel *The Social Study*, up to 5,500 panelists (smaller samples also possible) are waiting for your research 🤓 thesocialstudy.be/website-for-...
- Reposted by James DennisonAls Hintergrund siehe diese Studie von @jamesrdennison.bsky.social & Kriesi: doi.org/10.1017/S175.... tl;dr: 1. Je öffentlich salienter Zuwanderung, desto mehr Stimmen für radikal rechte Parteien. 2. Öffentliche Salienz von Zuwanderung hängt auch von der Betonung durch Parteien ab.
- Reposted by James Dennison🚨🚨 So five years since #brexit and I think it is time reshare Daniel Hannan's absolutely insane and delusional vision of grandeur and hubris that characterised the true engineers and believers of #brexit. Here comes the #brexit insanity No 1 🧵 www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/p...
- Reposted by James DennisonNew open-access paper in Annual Review of Psychology with @mjbsp.bsky.social: “Ideology: Psychological Similarities and Differences Across the Ideological Spectrum Reexamined” www.annualreviews.org/content/jour...
